Buyer Guide

The Canadian Buyer's Guide to San Miguel de Allende

Canadians take longer to buy in San Miguel de Allende than any other buyer segment, and the reason is rational: they carry two currencies of exposure instead of one, they lose something at home the longer they stay away, and almost nobody publishes the numbers they actually need.

Updated

If you are this buyer, these are your questions:

  1. How does San Miguel de Allende actually compare to Portugal, Costa Rica and Merida?
  2. What does holding Canadian dollars against a US-dollar market in a peso country do to me?
  3. What do I owe the Canada Revenue Agency once I own property abroad?

Canadian buyers take longer than anyone else. Agents find it frustrating. We think it is the correct response to the position Canadians are actually in, which is worse informed than the American position and more exposed than the European one.

The American buyer is comparing a US-dollar market against US-dollar alternatives, and the tax questions have been written about at length. The Canadian buyer is doing something harder. You hold Canadian dollars. San Miguel de Allende quotes and settles in US dollars. Your costs once you arrive are in pesos. That is two conversions, two sets of risk, and no published data on either leg for this market. Meanwhile Portugal, Costa Rica and Mérida are researched by different people using different measures, so nothing lines up.

Question one: how does this compare to the alternatives?

Start with the honest limitation. We hold no sourced data on Portugal or Costa Rica and will not generate any by reading marketing pages. So on Portugal, one useful thing and then we stop: whoever hands you a Portugal-versus-San Miguel comparison is almost certainly setting appreciation from one country’s mortgage-linked index against rental yields from another country’s listing scraper, and those do not describe the same market in either country. Ask for the methodology. If it is not offered, the comparison is decoration.

Mérida we can do properly, because both cities sit in the same federal house-price index and the same short-term-rental dataset.

MeasureSan Miguel de AllendeMéridaSource and basis
Restricted Zone statusOutside. Direct fee-simple titleInside. Roughly 35 km from the Gulf coast, within the 50 km strip. Fideicomiso requiredLey de Inversión Extranjera Art. 2 fr. VI
Foreign-buyer permit fee, 2026MXN 5,252.02 convenio de renunciaMXN 21,648.83 trust permit, before bank setup and annual feesLey Federal de Derechos Art. 25
State house-price appreciation, Q1 2026Guanajuato 8.44%Yucatán 10.65%SHF index. National average 8.74%
Municipal appreciation, Q1 2026Not published. Not in the SHF series10.41%SHF selected-municipality series
Rental revenue, annual averageUSD 17,033USD 9,254AirROI, TTM to June 2026
Rental occupancy29.9%38.5%Same
Average daily rateUSD 210USD 89Same
Listing supply growth, year on year+12.3%+22.7%Same
AirportNone locally. BJX, 3.31m passengers 2025, about 1.5 hours by roadMID, 3.95m passengers 2025, about 10 km from CentroMexico News Daily, 2025
US State Department advisoryGuanajuato, Level 3Yucatán, Level 1Advisory issued 29 May 2026

Read that honestly and San Miguel loses more lines than it wins. Yucatán appreciated faster on the federal index. Mérida is the only one of the two with a city-level government appreciation figure at all. Mérida’s airport is in the city; San Miguel’s is ninety minutes away. Yucatán is Level 1 and Guanajuato is Level 3.

Three caveats all cut the same way. They make the numbers less comparable than they look.

The SHF index is built from appraisals tied to mortgage lending, and San Miguel is described by the only brokerage publishing local transaction data as almost exclusively a cash market. The index therefore excludes the exact transactions you would be making. Guanajuato’s 8.44% is not San Miguel appreciation and Yucatán’s 10.65% is not Mérida’s expat-segment appreciation. No index of the foreign-buyer market appears to exist anywhere in Mexico.

The rental figures come from a listing scraper averaging across every active listing, part-time and badly managed ones included. The contrast is still stark: San Miguel earns more than double Mérida’s nightly rate on 8.6 points less occupancy. But no source publishes gross rental yield for either market, and it cannot be derived responsibly, because the revenue and price figures describe different property universes. Anyone offering you a yield percentage here has divided one dataset by an unrelated one.

On the Restricted Zone the advantage runs opposite to perception. Mérida is inside it. Several brokerage pages claim it is technically outside and allows direct title; the measured 35 kilometres to the coast says otherwise, and the consequence is a bank trust with setup and annual costs for as long as you hold. That is San Miguel’s clearest structural win over the market Canadians most often shortlist against it.

Question two: what does CAD exposure do to me?

You have two currency legs, not one. Leg one is Canadian dollars into US dollars, because San Miguel quotes, negotiates and settles in US dollars. Leg two is US dollars into pesos, because everything you pay for after closing, construction, labour, predial, notario fees, utilities and gardeners, is priced in pesos.

We can source leg two. We cannot source leg one, and we are not going to invent it.

Currency measureValueBasis
USD/MXN spot, 23 July 202617.4601European Central Bank reference rate
USD/MXN six-month range to July 2026Low 17.1061 (23 Feb), high 18.1490 (30 Mar)Six-month average 17.4452
USD/MXN annual average, 202418.330IRS yearly average rates
USD/MXN annual average, 202519.212IRS yearly average rates
Banxico policy rate, 6 March 20267.00%Against a US federal funds rate of 3.75%, a 3.25 point spread
CAD/MXN and CAD/USDNot published hereWe hold no sourced Canadian-dollar series for this market

Two things about that table matter more than the numbers in it.

First, spot rates and annual averages are different measures and must never be mixed. Spot strengthened sharply through 2025, from roughly 20.9 pesos per dollar at the start of the year to roughly 17.8 by the end, though sources differ on the exact close and on the size of the move, reported variously as about 14% and nearly 16%. The IRS annual averages run the other way: 18.330 for 2024 against 19.212 for 2025. Both are correct, over different windows. A page that reports a strengthening peso from spot and a weakening peso from averages in the same breath does not understand its own data.

Second, the point almost nobody makes to Canadians: because San Miguel prices are quoted and paid in dollars, a strong peso does not reduce your purchase price by a single dollar. It only raises the real cost of everything peso-denominated. Renovation, frequently the larger half of the project. Domestic labour. Predial. Closing costs. One documented illustration: a monthly transfer of USD 3,000 that once converted to about 60,000 pesos yielded about 51,000 pesos at the rate prevailing in late January 2026. Roughly a 15% loss of local purchasing power on the same dollar income, across your whole holding period rather than at closing.

Now add the first leg on top. All of that is amplified or damped by where the Canadian dollar sits against the US dollar on the day you convert, and you are exposed twice: once when you buy, and continuously thereafter if you fund carrying costs from Canadian income. We publish no Canadian-dollar figure because our research file contains none, and a CAD/MXN number pulled off a converter and dressed as analysis is exactly what this site exists not to do. The drag is real, underdiscussed, and a buyer who models only the purchase price has modelled the smaller risk.

Question three: what do I owe the CRA?

Form T1135, the Foreign Income Verification Statement, is the Canada Revenue Agency’s reporting mechanism for specified foreign property. Two facts decide whether your San Miguel house is caught by it: whether it is held purely for personal use, and whether it earns rental income.

We do not publish the reporting threshold, the precise definition of specified foreign property, or the penalty schedule. Our research file contains no CRA-sourced material, and paraphrasing a tax form from memory is how people end up filing on the strength of a real-estate blog. The same applies to the Canada-Mexico tax treaty, foreign tax credits and the deemed-disposition consequences of changing your own tax residency. All of it sits outside what we have researched and all of it is worth an hour of professional time before you sign.

The Mexican half of the same decision we have researched, and it is more consequential than most Canadians expect.

If you let the propertyWhat Mexican law does
Furnished, any lease lengthThe residential IVA exemption is lost. Article 20 fr. II of the Ley del Impuesto al Valor Agregado excludes property provided furnished or used as lodging, so 16% applies. Statute, not an enforcement position
Short-term, in GuanajuatoA 4% state lodging tax on the consideration, under Arts. 54 to 57 of the Ley de Hacienda para el Estado de Guanajuato
As lodging, in San MiguelMXN 45,000 per fiscal year for the specific land-use permit for lodging, under Art. 24 of the 2026 Ley de Ingresos. Per year, not one-off

On exit, if you are not a Mexican tax resident, Article 160 of the Ley del Impuesto sobre la Renta gives you 25% of gross proceeds with no deductions at all, or an election to apply the 35% top rate to the computed gain. Which is cheaper is arithmetic on your own numbers. The principal-residence exemption sits in Title IV, which applies to Mexican tax residents, so a Canadian who never becomes one cannot use it. Nationality is irrelevant; tax residency is decisive.

Two mechanics work against sellers and rarely appear in buyer guides. Under Article 124 the building component of your cost basis must be reduced by 3% for every year you held it, floored at 20% of initial cost. And where land and construction are not separated in the acquisition deed, land is deemed to be 20% of total cost, usually unfavourable in San Miguel, where land is a high share of value. Ask your notario to separate them at purchase. It is very difficult to fix later.

Provincial health coverage, and how long you can be away

Provincial health insurance is provincial. There is no single Canadian rule for how long you may be out of the country before coverage lapses; each province sets its own minimum physical-presence requirement, and several permit an extended absence on application. We publish no province-by-province day count because we have not sourced them, and a day count wrong by a month is worse for you than no number at all. Get it from your provincial ministry in writing before you commit to a wintering pattern, and again if you later shift from six months to eight.

What we can document is what you would be relying on at the other end, and it is thinner than the marketing suggests. As at the end of 2023, San Miguel de Allende municipality had 26 public-sector medical units in service: one IMSS, one ISSSTE and 24 state health ministry units, against a municipal population of 174,615 in the 2020 census. León had 85 and Celaya 30. Complex and specialist care is routinely referred to Querétaro, roughly an hour to an hour and a half by road, with León the other referral centre. That drive-time spread matters in an emergency and no source narrows it.

If you take residency, voluntary IMSS enrolment under the Seguro de Salud para la Familia is priced by age. The schedule effective 1 March 2026 runs from MXN 9,300 a year at ages 0 to 19 to MXN 22,150 at 80 and over, with MXN 20,600 at 60 to 69 and MXN 21,500 at 70 to 79. Fees are national and paid annually in advance. Enrolment requires a residence card plus a CURP, so visitors are ineligible; first-year cover is limited to basic consultations and life-threatening emergencies; and IMSS refuses enrolment for specified pre-existing conditions. For an older buyer it is a supplement, not a substitute for private cover, and we found no published range for private premiums we are willing to print.

The snowbird-to-resident progression

Most Canadians arrive as visitors and stay that way for years. The progression, when it happens, has a fixed shape and one trap in the middle of it.

StageThe controlling rule
VisitorMaximum 180 uninterrupted days per entry, no paid activities. The officer at entry sets the days, not you, and the air-arrival record is now digital, so a shorter grant is easy to miss
Deciding to convertArticle 53 bars visitors from changing their condition of stay from inside Mexico. The application is made at a consulate abroad
Consular applicationResolved within 10 business days. The visa is valid up to 180 days, one entry. That window is for travelling to Mexico, not for staying
Arrival and canjeApply to INM for the residence card within 30 calendar days of entry. Missing it voids the visa and sends you back to a consulate
Temporary residencyNo more than four years in total under Article 52 fr. VII. It carries no general permission to earn income in Mexico; a work permit is tied to a job offer
Permanent residencyArticle 54 offers no wealth or property route. For most buyers the path is four years of temporary residency then conversion under fracción V

The 2026 thresholds are in the FAQ above. Two points are specific to Canadians. Every consulate converts the peso thresholds at its own rate and none publishes that rate, so the local-currency bar genuinely differs between cities. And we could not retrieve a single official 2026 requirements sheet from any Canadian consulate; Toronto, Vancouver and Montreal all sit behind bot protection. The only 2026 sheet we could source is San Diego’s, asking USD 4,510 a month in income or USD 75,950 in savings. The Canadian-dollar figures circulating in relocation guides cite a multiplier the current Lineamientos do not use, and one of those guides states the property route at roughly USD 40,000 when the actual threshold is above MXN 10.7 million. Do not plan around them.

There is no dedicated digital-nomad visa. The San Diego 2026 sheet requires applicants proving solvency through employment to submit an employer letter stating explicit agreement with the applicant residing in Mexico and working remotely. That is the remote-work route: the ordinary temporary resident visa, with your employer’s knowledge.

What we cannot tell you

Naming these is not a disclaimer. It is the most useful part of the page, because each is a number someone will offer you with more confidence than the evidence supports.

  • How many Canadians are actually here. The 2020 census recorded 15 arrivals from Canada in the preceding five years against 1,100 from the United States, implausible on its face and a sign the census captures foreign residents badly. It counts 4,312 foreign-born residents in the municipality, 2.5% of the population, while unsourced estimates run from 10,000 to 25,000. Nobody has published a defensible count, and no source gives a buyer-nationality split for this market.
  • What San Miguel property has actually appreciated. No public registry or association data exists. Every hard transaction number traces to one brokerage reporting on its own MLS view: average sale price falling from USD 650,462 in 2024 to USD 568,829 in 2025, sales above USD 2 million falling from 19 to 12, active listings rising from 593 in May 2025 to 860 in May 2026, and months of inventory averaging 29.6 for January to May 2026 against 17.6 a year earlier. Those run against the firm’s own commercial interest, a point in their favour, and remain unauditable.
  • What closing will cost, precisely. The acquisition tax is knowable: San Miguel’s 2026 ISAI tariff is progressive, not the flat 2% widely repeated, giving an effective rate of roughly 3.58% at MXN 5 million rising to about 3.90% at MXN 20 million. Registration is a flat MXN 2,460 to 2,574, not a percentage. But notary fees are contractually negotiated and no published San Miguel schedule exists, so the total stays a range: estimates run 4% to 9%, clustering at 5% to 6%.
  • What your predial will be. The rates are knowable, 0.234% to 0.354% marginal on urban built property, with a 15% discount in January and 10% in February. They apply to cadastral value, and the ratio of cadastral to market value here is published by nobody. Without it the rates cannot be turned into a percentage of what you paid.
  • Whether the water holds. Groundwater in the Upper Río Laja watershed is reported dropping by as much as three metres a year in places, the aquifers supplying the city are classified as overexploited, and arsenic and fluoride concentrations rise as the table falls. Neighbourhood-level contamination figures exist only in a four-year-old secondary report we will not republish unverified. This is the least discussed livability risk in the market and it belongs in a ten-year decision.

One more, because it cuts against the pitch: the only ranking we could source places San Miguel fifth most expensive of 144 Mexican cities. It is crowd-sourced with a small sample, so treat the relative position as the claim and ignore the absolute figures. San Miguel is not the affordable-Mexico option, and has not been for some time.

The standing note

This is published research, not legal or tax advice. The distinction matters more here than usual, because the Canadian side of your decision is the side we have deliberately not covered.

What is settled law is settled: the Restricted Zone boundary, San Miguel’s position outside it, your right to hold direct fee-simple title, the statutory treatment on exit. What is practice varies, sometimes widely: notario fees, consular processing, how a given office applies the property route to residency, what documents you will actually be asked for. Where sources conflict we have printed the conflict rather than the friendlier number.

Your notario is the legal authority on your transaction, and in Mexico that is substantive rather than a formality: they verify title, compute and remit the tax under their own personal responsibility, and register the deed. Your Canadian accountant is the authority on your CRA position. Your provincial ministry is the authority on your health coverage. We are none of those things, and we earn no commission on whether you buy, where you buy, or whether anything closes.

That last part is the only reason this page can tell you that Yucatán beat Guanajuato on the federal index, that months of supply here have nearly doubled, and that the currency drag is real and larger than the part of it anyone has bothered to measure.

Sources

  1. Ley de Inversión Extranjera, Arts. 2 fr. VI, 10-A and 11 (Restricted Zone definition; convenio de renuncia; fideicomiso requirement) · Última reforma DOF 27 May 2024
  2. Ley Federal de Derechos, Art. 25 fr. XV and fr. V (SRE convenio de renuncia fee; restricted-zone trust permit fee) · 2026 amounts per RMF 2026, DOF 28 December 2025
  3. Ley de Ingresos para el Municipio de San Miguel de Allende 2026, Arts. 4, 7, 24, 25 and 49 (ISAI tariff, predial tariff, lodging land-use permit, discounts) · Fiscal year 2026
  4. Ley del Impuesto sobre la Renta, Arts. 93 fr. XIX, 121, 124 and 160 (principal-residence exemption; deductions; non-resident disposal tax) · Última reforma DOF 1 April 2024
  5. Ley del Impuesto al Valor Agregado, Art. 20 fr. II (furnished-rental IVA exclusion) · Última reforma DOF 12 November 2021
  6. Ley de Hacienda para el Estado de Guanajuato, Arts. 54-57 (4% state lodging tax) · Consolidated to 13 November 2025
  7. Lineamientos Generales para la expedición de visas (DOF 25 July 2025): residency thresholds expressed in UMA · In force since August 2025
  8. Ley de Migración, Arts. 52, 53 and 54 (visitor stay cap; no change of condition from inside Mexico; routes to permanent residency) · Última reforma DOF 15 January 2026
  9. INEGI, Comunicado de Prensa 1/26: 2026 UMA value · In force 1 February 2026 to 31 January 2027
  10. Consulado General de México en San Diego: 2026 temporary resident (economic solvency) requirements sheet · 2026
  11. European Central Bank reference rate for USD/MXN, via Frankfurter · 23 July 2026
  12. Internal Revenue Service: yearly average currency exchange rates (Mexican peso, 2024 and 2025) · 2024 and 2025 annual averages
  13. Instituto de Información Estadística y Geográfica de Jalisco, from Sociedad Hipotecaria Federal: house price index Q1 2026 · Q1 2026, published 29 May 2026
  14. AirROI: short-term rental performance, San Miguel de Allende and Mérida · Trailing twelve months July 2025 to June 2026
  15. Realty San Miguel, citing AMPI MLS closed-sale data (average sale price, inventory, months of supply) · Full-year 2025 and June 2026
  16. SESNSP, presented at the presidential press conference, reported by Mexico News Daily: Guanajuato and national homicides · January to June 2026
  17. Periódico AM 'Ejecutómetro': municipal homicide tally, Guanajuato · June 2026, published 2 July 2026
  18. elcri.men analysis of SESNSP and INEGI data, reported by Mexico News Daily: San Miguel de Allende homicide rate and national rank · September 2024 to August 2025
  19. Global Affairs Canada: travel advice and advisories for Mexico · 23 July 2026
  20. US Department of State, Bureau of Consular Affairs: Mexico travel advisory · Issued 29 May 2026
  21. INEGI Censo de Población y Vivienda 2020 and Tabulados de Integración 2024, via IPLANEG Guanajuato: population, foreign-born residents, public medical units · 2020 census; facility counts as at 31 December 2023
  22. Data México (Secretaría de Economía), from INEGI census: recent in-migration by country of origin · 2020 census, covering roughly 2015 to 2020
  23. The Mexico Handbook, corroborated by Mexican consumer press: IMSS Seguro de Salud para la Familia annual fees · Fee schedule effective 1 March 2026
  24. Mexico News Daily: Mexico's busiest airports, 2025 passenger traffic · Full-year 2025
  25. Livingcost.org: cost of living ranking, Mexican cities · 21 June 2026
  26. Caminos de Agua: Urban Water Initiative, Upper Río Laja aquifer · Retrieved 23 July 2026

Common Questions

Do Canadians need a fideicomiso to buy property in San Miguel de Allende?

No. Mexico's Restricted Zone is defined by the Foreign Investment Law as 100 kilometres along international borders and 50 kilometres along coastlines, and San Miguel de Allende sits far inside neither. Canadians take direct fee-simple title in their own name. What is required instead is the convenio de renuncia, a written agreement filed with the Secretaría de Relaciones Exteriores, whose statutory fee for 2026 is MXN 5,252.02 under Article 25 fracción XV of the Ley Federal de Derechos. For a municipality wholly outside the Restricted Zone the permit is deemed granted if the SRE does not publish a refusal within five business days. Note that Mérida, which Canadians frequently shortlist alongside San Miguel, sits roughly 35 kilometres from the Gulf coast and is therefore inside the Restricted Zone, where a bank trust is required. Several brokerage pages claim otherwise, and they are wrong on a point that costs money.

How long can a Canadian stay in Mexico as a visitor, and can I convert to residency once I am there?

Article 52 fracción I of the Ley de Migración caps a visitor stay at no more than 180 uninterrupted days from the date of entry, with no permission to undertake paid activities in Mexico. That is a ceiling, not an entitlement: the 2025 visa Lineamientos state that the permitted stay is determined by the immigration officer at the point of entry, and since the paper entry form was replaced by a digital record for air arrivals, many travellers do not notice they were granted fewer days than they assumed. Article 53 is the rule most snowbirds get wrong. Visitors, other than those on humanitarian grounds or with a family link to a Mexican or to a foreign resident, may not change their condition of stay from inside Mexico and must leave at the end of the authorised period. A residency application is made at a Mexican consulate abroad, not from your house in San Miguel.

What are the 2026 financial thresholds for Mexican temporary residency?

Since the Lineamientos Generales published in the Diario Oficial de la Federación on 25 July 2025, every threshold is expressed as a multiple of the daily UMA rather than the minimum wage. Temporary residency requires net monthly income above 680 days of UMA over the last six months, or an average monthly balance of 11,460 days of UMA over the last twelve months. At the 2026 UMA of MXN 117.31 per day, in force from 1 February 2026, those are MXN 79,770.80 per month and MXN 1,344,372.60. Permanent residency on the retiree route requires 1,140 days of UMA in monthly pension income or 45,850 days of UMA in savings, which are MXN 133,733.40 and MXN 5,378,663.50. Consulates convert these into local currency at their own rates and the published figures differ between them. We could not source a single official 2026 requirements sheet from any Canadian consulate, so we publish no Canadian-dollar threshold.

Does buying a property in San Miguel de Allende qualify me for Mexican residency?

Only above a threshold most buyers will not reach. Trámite 5, fracción III inciso f of the 2025 Lineamientos grants temporary residency to a foreign national holding title by public deed to Mexican real estate valued above 91,710 days of UMA, which at the 2026 UMA is MXN 10,758,500.10. Below that value the property does nothing for your immigration status and you must qualify on income or savings like anyone else. Several relocation guides state this threshold as roughly USD 40,000, which is wrong by more than an order of magnitude. We could not source any official guidance on how often consulates accept this route in practice, or which valuation, cadastral, deed price or appraisal, they apply to the test.

What does the Canada Revenue Agency require once I own property in Mexico?

Form T1135, the Foreign Income Verification Statement, is the CRA's reporting mechanism for specified foreign property, and the two facts that determine whether your Mexican house is caught are whether it is held purely for personal use and whether it earns rental income. We do not publish the reporting threshold, the definition of specified foreign property or the penalty schedule, because our research file contains no CRA-sourced material and we will not paraphrase a tax form from memory. Get those from the CRA and from your own accountant. What we can document is the Mexican side of the same decision, and it is substantial: letting a property furnished removes the residential IVA exemption under Article 20 fracción II of the Ley del Impuesto al Valor Agregado, so 16% applies regardless of lease length; Guanajuato levies a 4% state lodging tax; and San Miguel de Allende charges MXN 45,000 per fiscal year for the specific land-use permit for lodging.

What tax does a Canadian pay on selling a San Miguel de Allende property?

If you are not a Mexican tax resident, Article 160 of the Ley del Impuesto sobre la Renta applies. The default is 25% of the total gross proceeds with no deductions whatsoever. You may instead elect to apply the top rate of the Article 152 tariff, which is 35%, to the computed gain. Which is cheaper depends entirely on the size of your gain relative to the sale price. One point corrects widespread guidance: Article 160 states that where the sale is recorded in a public deed, no Mexican legal representative is required in order to make that election, and essentially every Mexican property sale is recorded in a public deed. The principal-residence exemption is not available to you unless you are a Mexican tax resident, and it caps the exempt sale price rather than the exempt gain, at 700,000 UDIs, which was MXN 6,166,187.30 at the UDI value published for 10 July 2026.

Is San Miguel de Allende safe, and what does the Canadian advisory say?

Global Affairs Canada advises exercising a high degree of caution across Mexico and applies avoid non-essential travel to Guanajuato in all areas south of and including highways 43D and 45D. San Miguel de Allende lies north of both, and Canada does not name it. Neither does the US advisory reissued on 29 May 2026, which places Guanajuato at Level 3 and contains no mention of San Miguel de Allende at all. That is the favourable reading. The unfavourable one is that Guanajuato recorded 789 intentional homicides in the first half of 2026 per SESNSP, the highest of any Mexican state and about 8.8% of the national total of 8,988, and that San Miguel de Allende recorded 88 homicides between September 2024 and August 2025 at a rate of 49.3 per 100,000, ranking it Mexico's 50th most violent municipality. Two qualifications, in both directions. The state trend is falling fast, reported at 50.9% down year on year by SESNSP, though an independent press tally counted 1,141 victims for the same state and period against SESNSP's 789 and put the decline at 17%; the two use different methodologies and we publish both rather than choose. And San Miguel is not insulated from statewide events: reprisal violence in February 2026 produced roughly 77 attacks in under 24 hours across about 23 Guanajuato municipalities, San Miguel among them. Within the state it is far quieter than the industrial south, with 3 homicides in June 2026 against León 45, Salamanca 32 and Irapuato 25.

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